2014/1/20

2014/1/20

EUR- Waiting Short
Weekly: Keep retracing from the negative KD momentum and deviating MACD signal.
Daily: Consolidation of bottom from daily  KD seems failed. First one negative KD showed last Friday.
Hourly: Though break last day's low, hourly gave retrace signal soon.

AUD - Waiting short / small long
Weekly: failed to attack upside
Daily: same as weekly, squeeze back very soon when KD show first negative signal.
Hourly: firming retracing signal.

JPY - Small short
Weeky: Retrace signal from KD, MACD OK
Daily : MACD negative, KD positive, but break the first positive KD low.
Hourly: not very sure, equity market cant not release selling pressure so far.

創見 2451
Weekly: KD交叉  MACD即將翻正
Daily: 有過一次正常修正  MACD還OK   KD即將翻正  可能為第二波

台達電 2308
Weeky: MACD有點背離  KD鈍化中
Daily: KD翻正後上攻  但是擔心weekly 等MACD看看

宏達電 2498
daily OK
等周KD翻轉

群光 2385
Weekly: 周線漂亮  MACD正常發展 KD穩定上揚
Daily  KD剛交叉  可try

20120112

Markets are not demanding for the immediate answer about what the resession will be.

Especially in the very begining of a year, due to the natures of buy side stratagy and doing long easily, there are still some optimal sentiment showed up in some market, especiall in equity and commodity. Maybe it is mainly from the followes of christmas sentiment.

Risky assets got sold off overnight, no special bearish news, yield dropped further on US treasury, momentum on commodities stopped. Equity stayed a bit good sentiment.

Which market is wrong, which is forerunner? Unless risk appetite deteriorates to the level which is that all the player no longer invest cash into risky assets, especially in equity and commodities.

We got plenty of EU debts need to roll over, and volker rule waits ahead.